Posts Tagged ‘home values’

Existing Home Sales Rise As Prices Fall

Tuesday, June 23rd, 2009

Existing home sales rose in May according to a report released to day by the National Association of Realtors. The level of 4.77 million homes is a 2.4% increase from an adjusted 4.66 million homes in April.  However, it remains 3.6% below last year’s levels.  The increase in homes sold is attributed this time to many returning buyers, who are gravitating towards existing home sales rather than distressed properties. Distressed sales fell to 33% of the sales in May, versus 45% of the sales in April. Yet the median home price, of $173,000 is still down 16.8% from a year earlier.

In other words, first time home buyers tend to gravitate towards homes in foreclosure, due to the lower prices. Yet these sales drag down the home values in the neighborhood, as we have discussed before. Return buyers, on the other hand, are less likely to buy a home in foreclosure. Their increasing market share appears to be good for the housing market as a whole, yet the steady decline of housing prices continues to have the real estate industry concerned.

A Neighbor's Foreclosure Affects Home Value

Monday, June 15th, 2009

Many prospective reverse mortgage borrowers have questions about appraisals, and while statistics show that consumers’ valuations of their homes are beginning to fall more in line with the reality, there is still generally a gap between what a borrower thinks their home is worth and what an apparaiser thinks it is worth.

The NYTimes wrote an article on Friday highlighting how a neighbor’s foreclosure can dramatically affect home values.  The article cites a report from the Center for Responsible Lending in Durham, NC, stating that about 69.5 million homes will have their home values decline this year due to the foreclosure of a neighbor.  These homes will lose an average of $7,200, leading to a suspected loss of over $500 billion nationwide.  Meanwhile, Credit Suisse projected that about 9 million homes will go into foreclosure from 2009-2011, leading to a ripple effect of declining prices on neighboring homes.

As Bill Tennant pointed out two weeks ago in his blog post on appraisals, one of the leading factors in an appariser’s valuation of a home is the recent sales of comparable homes in the vicinity. As the Center for Responsible Lending’s report shows, many borrowers are likely to take a greater hit due to the foreclosure crisis than they expected on the value of their homes. The Center for Responsible Lending predicted that borrowers will face a drop of 1.3% of their home’s value if they live within 300 ft. of a foreclosed home, and 0.6% of its value if they live between 300 and 500 ft.

Guest Contribution: Appraisals

Thursday, June 4th, 2009

Every day I talk to clients across the country confused on how appraisals work, and the ultimate value of their home.  I am not an appraiser, just someone with experience reading hundreds of appraisals and understanding in broad terms how appraisers come to report the value of a home.

Today I spent twenty minutes on the phone with a pleasant woman, who is convinced that her home is worth at least $210,000.  We spent much of the call going through every detail of her home, which sounds well-maintained and in great condition.  I know the color of the carpets and walls in every room, the materials used in the updated kitchen, and the time that went into the landscaping.

This twenty minute tour of her home didn’t change the fact that two homes of similar square footage have sold on her street recently for under $150,000.  The hard truth of the current market, full of foreclosures, and short-sales came crashing down on her Reverse Mortgage dreams.  With so few retail sales recently, distress sales make up the bulk of the comparable sales and are exerting unprecedented influence on appraised values.

I am not writing this to tell horror stories about appraisals (although I have some that come to mind), only in the hope that we can all be a little more realistic about today’s real estate market.  Appraisals can not take into consideration the beautifully decorated kitchen, except to perhaps slightly increase the value due to the homes great condition.  Appraisers look at square footage, lot size, and overall condition of the property, number of bedrooms, number of bathrooms, and features, among many other factors.  They look at comparable sales within the area within a certain time period.  Unfortunately, that means that if a home down the street is the same model on the same lot as yours in similar condition it will reflect heavily on your value, even if they did not put the same amount of work into the landscaping or the interior of the home.

The appraiser’s job is not to assess the value of the upgrades made to the home, but only to compare your property’s overall condition to the overall condition of other sales in the area.  Homes currently on the market have no bearing on the value until they have sold, providing a current comparable sale.  Until then, the home on the market only increases property inventory which can actually reduce the value of your home.

Even experienced professionals in the real estate industry are often surprised lately by low appraisals.  Please, heed my advice and research other sales in your area as well as similar properties that are pending sales to be sure you have an informed opinion of the value of your home to save much heartache and frustration, and in some cases money if the appraisal comes back lower than what is acceptable.

Bill Tennant is the Vice President of Access Reverse Mortgage in St. Petersburg, FL. He is a guest contributor to the site.