Posts Tagged ‘market’

Housing Prices Stabilize, Home Sales Increase- Is the Market Better?

Thursday, July 23rd, 2009

The National Association of Realtors revealed today that home sales continued their increase in June, with the sale of previously occupied homes rising 3.6% from May. It was the highest number of sales since October of 2008 and beat analysts expectations by 50,000 homes. In perhaps more telling numbers, the median sales price was $181,800. While this is up from $174,700 in May, it is down from the $215,000 median sales price in June of last year.

Meanwhile, other reports are asking whether housing prices may have stabilized. The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s housing price index, based on repeat sales of the same houses, rose 0.9% in May from April. It is nearly unchanged since November (source: Wall Street Journal, front page, 7/23/09).  However, the index seems to be deceiving. It does not include subprime or other unconventional mortgages, which are the source of many of the problems in the housing market and which appear to have driven down the prices throughout the country.

These signs seem to be positive for the housing industry. But jobless claims are still high, and foreclosures, new homes, and unsold properties do not seem to play a large role in these reports. While it is nice to see two indicators moving in such a positive direction, other downward indicators seem to mean that it might not be wise to get too optimistic just yet.

NAR Raises Concerns About Appraisals and Proposes Expanding Tax Credits

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

In a report published on Wednesday, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) proposed that Obama’s tax credit for first time buyers should be expanded across the market to all buyers. Concerns were also raised about appraisals.  Lawrence Yun, the NAR’s cheif economist, cited the appraisal problem as “serious,” and characterized by buyers using appraisers who are not from their neighborhood or who are comparing their property to distresed or damaged homes.  These appraisal problems are allegedly pulling down home values, and hurting the industry.

Complaints about appraisals are nothing new. However, the importance of a good appraisal is especially crucial in this economy, where there are so many distressed properties on the market that a home could be compared to. It is nonetheless true that, as we reported, have a foreclosed home within 500 ft. of a property decreases its value significantly.  As the number of foreclosures increase, more properties will be affected. Nonetheless, it is also true that a home that is not in foreclosure should probably not be valued the same as a home in foreclosure.  One is a distressed property, the other is not.

In terms of expanding Obama’s tax credits, the NAR proposes an interesting idea. It is true that an expanded tax credit would probably drive more buyers into the market. However, the influx of buyers would not necessarily cause the market to rebound. We have already seen an increase in home buyers, but property values still remain low and there still remains a lot of properties on the market.  Introducing more potential buyers would likely not change these facts when there are still so many foreclosures dragging down property values in many areas.