Housing Market Rebound Freezes Out The Previously Well-Off

A front page story in the Wall Street Journal this morning highlighted an interesting trend; high-end homeowners are being left behind in the housing market rebound.  Stimulus programs, such as the $8,000 new homebuyer tax credit and low mortgage rates, are dependent upon income and home values.  The jumbo mortgages necessary to take out a high-cost home have come with higher rates and lenders requiring an increasingly large portion as the down payment (20-30% of the property value). All this comes at a time when prospective buyers have had an even harder time selling their homes, making coming up with money up front difficult. As a result, while the market has begun to turn upwards for many first-time buyers and lower value homes, the market is still stagnant for those in the upper and upper-middle classes.

While it is perhaps unsurprising that stimulus programs might choose to target those with lower incomes, the recession has hit those with higher incomes as well.  Many of the people affected by the stock market crash and financial fraud scandals are those who were making upwards of $150,000/year. After losing their jobs and/or the majority of their 401Ks, some members of this group are taking pay cuts in order to land new jobs. As home values decline however, this group also is beginning to have a hard time making mortgage payments and qualifying for relief. Jumbo mortgages are currently the type of mortgages with the highest default rate.

The government should do something to make sure that the upper middle class and upper classes are not completely cut out of the stimulus programs–at least so far as real estate is concerned. Their homes are taking some of the largest hits in a distressed market, to the point where selling is not possible without losing hundreds of thousands of dollars.  And in markets such as California, some are extremely upside down on their mortgages. While they may be well off in comparative terms, they could still lose their homes (and many are), could still lose their jobs and source of income (and many have), and they still should be granted some form of relief.